Links To #GFSN Gambling Podcast &Betting & Educational Blog Posts On The Bottom

Apple Podcast Link Below

https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/gfsn-nfl-betting-and-team-report/id1478807104

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Continue reading Links To #GFSN Gambling Podcast &Betting & Educational Blog Posts On The Bottom

Top 10 Rules For Betting NFL-CFB And College Basketball

Systematically betting on NFL, College Football, College Basketball, and some NBA allows you to make a decision without having to hear anyone else’s mouth.
You can always win and have money in your pocket to avoid “Hard Times” in the “American Dream” Dusty Rhodes sense. 
Over a 10 year period with my brother who I met at work in Carlsbad California: Victor Cappello; have come up with a process of 243 rules of betting. The result of those rules are we paid for Vegas trips including our legendary 4 days in Vegas for the start of the 2010 NCAA tournament where we won over 90% of our bets and did a crazy parlay that we only needed Texas to inbounds the ball and we would have been retired.

However, that is the “beauty” and “fun” of betting like sociologist; you enjoy the madness and craziness of human nature. Even though it is Sports gambling ; it is very clean compared to other forms of entertainment these days.
  You have to have a system or code you live by; not only to make money betting but have fun and laugh while you are doing it. Each part of the country is different. Therefore outcomes vary. 
I am originally from Los Angeles California and spent 20 years in Florida and now I have been back in Southern California for the past 12 years. Victor is originally from Buffalo, we met in Carlsbad California and we have used our knowledge and sports together for a million laughs over the last decade. Also, we have paid rent and Christmas presents with our picks. Here are your top 10 Sports gambling rules and remember come up with a few of your own and let us know. 

Never bet on your own team. This is straight out of economics. Economics is 40% math and 60% in psychology. Because of the emotional attachment, propaganda in the newspaper and TV you always think that your team will perform better than you think when times are going good and worse when times are going bad. Especially if you have a job and a wife or girlfriend or kids you are never going to put the pieces to pick the right side of a game 

If you lose it is not because of “bad luck” it is because you picked the wrong team; No Such Thing As A “Badbeat” The reason you can make money consistently in Sportsbetting is that coaches like Bill Belicheat, Nick Satan and Andy Reid have scripts for the 1st 20 plays of every game and map out how the season will go. Therefore after watching games your whole life you can pick up on patterns and predict how players and teams will react.

It is a natural human reaction to try to make yourself better ; that is the reason 90% of people do not want to admit that they are wrong.

However, like in economics, the “opposite of every truth is also true”. Betting uses the mathematical law of “opposites”. For every coach like Andy Reid there are new coaches like Anthony Lynn of the San Diego Chargers right now in 2019. I am sure he is trying to do the same things as Belicheat and Reid but since every As a result you get random outcomes that you can consistently bet against; depending on the situation. I have been told by people that work at NFL teams front offices that even though it is “counter-intuitive” there is not a consistent book of best practices for every team.

You can tell which team has a good management system and which do not.  The league Commissioner makes sure the “goose that is laying the golden eggs” PR and marketing do not get affected by the different management styles. Each NFL team for example has 4 built in wins.Therefore after each outcome reflect and think why you got the pick right or wrong 

Never Bet More Than 25% Of Bank Roll: If you were psychic you would know the Lottery numbers. Because of evolution and coping mechanisms we overestimate decisions. So no matter how much you think a team will win; to keep money in your bankroll to have fun never bet more than 25% of your bankroll. 52% is break even and 70% is the goal to attain.

Never Parlay Games: “Salesmen think short-term and businessmen think long term”  the variables are too many to be a good business decision pure entertainment is another story. The probability of a favorable outcome math wise has the least variables and co-varables

Never Bet Without During Your Research; Read the local “beat writers”; talk to fans at the games that really know what they are talking about, read the preseason magazines but do not pay attention to any of the predictions: make your own. Always know what happened the last time the teams played. This removes some negative variables that could effect a positive outcome.

Bet The Moneyline: Do not get killed by extra point missed. Again from a math perspective you eliminate some variables and co-variables that may effect a positive outcome.

Bet The Coaches Not The Players  Coaches especially in College control the game. What are the coaches goals? Does he care about bowl games; and wears out his teams getting reps for the next season? Does he only care about the season regular season division title like Bill Self and lose early in the tournament? Is the coach like Belicheat where the full offensive and defensive schemes are not in until the playoffs? is there “bad blood” between the coaches?

Myth Lines Are Made For Betting On Both Sides & Any Statistic Is Useful  “Lines are lies”    Lines are made to make money. If the lines makers can get 80% of the people to bet the wrong team “they” love it. I have a client who does analytics for a major league baseball team and will not take any NFL clients. She is the smartest person I have ever met. She is a mathematician. She states analytics does not work in football because mathematically there are too many variables

Stop Betting If You Are Not Laughing All The Time, Having Fun And Helps You Escape From Reality 

Use The Same Logic For Investing In Stocks, Businesses And In Products In Betting. Value is value. If you have information that the masses do not then go for it; put money down,

References 

Thinking in Bets. 2018.

Interference : how organized crime influences professional football. 1989.

Belichick : the making of the greatest football coach of all time 2019

Who is Lake Forest Political Consultant John Bush ?

Orange County DA’s office is investigating the 2nd recall of former Lake Forest Councilman Andrew Hamilton for forgery and fraud. In this reporters opinion it is based on the all the evidence that Lake Forest Political consultant John Bush provided; according to Bush himself during the cities public comments. Also according to his Equifax back ground check is that he moved to Michigan to avoid prosecution: it costs a lot of money to extradite him here from Michigan for fraud charges.This is a link to John Bush’s public comments during the March Lake Forest City Council meeting.Per public records Bush owes the IRS 209,000 and the state of California $150,000 in back taxes. Call the IRS and Franchise Tax board and they will give you exact figures. This reporter did and those are the approximate figures they provided. 

To understand what John Bush did in Lake Forest California it is important to research John Bush’s background.

The initial public records, interview with his estranged wife Metkeo Bush & his Facebook posts revealed John Bush was a prison guard in Michigan then he was fired for bringing in dfrugs into the jail and he moved to Marion County Florida as result

John Bush Admits To Forging Signatures as it turns out to be

This reporter lived in West Central Florida off and on 20 years. Florida has a high criminal population and cultural history. In the 1700’s convicted criminals from Western Europe were jailed in Florida then used to fight native Americans. In the 1920’s Florida was inhospitable unless you had some sort of air conditioning. So the organized crime from New York and Chicago set up shop. They were the only group of people who could afford air conditioning until the early 1980’s when cocaine cartels and business oriented organized crime figures, tourist industry big shots & the construction industry set up Community Banks in Florida to lend money to develop the economy. Until this day Florida is relatively poor depressed area run manly by organized conservative crime organizations that are 80% legitimate business.

All major crime families, Mexican cartels and asians gangs have operations in Florida but the most famous is the Trafficante family. Here is the link to their wikipedia page.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafficante_crime_family

John Bush lived in Marion County Florida. The median income for a household in the county was $31,944, and the median income for a family was $37,473. Males had a median income of $28,836 versus $21,855 for females. The per capita income for the county was $17,848. About 9.20% of families and 13.10% of the population were below the poverty line, including 20.20% of those under age 18 and 7.40% of those age 65 or over. Below are links to use as reference to get an idea of what controls Marion County

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Marion_County,_Florida

http://www.scottdeitche.com/books.html

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafficante_crime_family

What made Marion County famous is that famous mobster John Gotti and the Gambino family owns a horse farm in Marion County Florida to rig the horse racing industry. I owned a restaurant for 6 years in Pinellas Park Florida. John Gotti loved my version of Cuban food and had me cater parities there in Marion County where I met J- Lo and Mark Anthony. J-Lo currently lives in Escondido

How do prison guards make money ? By bringing drugs into the jail is the common cultural theme. “You are who you hang out with” and prison guards hang out with convicted criminals all day.

After filing for bankruptcy in Florida : Bush decides to move to Southern California to become a political consultant. And former Lake Forest Councilman Adam Nick hired him to successfully recall corrupt shady City Councilman Andrew Hamilton in 2017 who is bank rolled by the Toll Brothers, Lincoln Club and Republican Party to the tune of $67,000.00 to eliminate one of the last Green Belts in Orange County into 800 houses. Hamilton lost the recall election 70% for and 30% against.

According to Bush’s public comments at Lake Forest City Council meetings, after being paid $180,000 by Nick, Bush somehow according to Mrs. Bush blows all the money and attempts to extort $25,000 more from Nick . Here is a link to Bush’s public comments

https://www.facebook.com/lakeforestca/videos/1272357392898821/ 

In an interview Mrs. Bush states “I gave John 15 years of my life : I do not need his drama anymore, and with the divorce: I want to get rid of my name being tied to the money John owes the IRS and Franchise Tax board $350,000 that I know of “

How will the current forgery and fraud investigation end ? And is Bush’s history going to be to be a forbearer of who will be arrested ? But the embattled OCSD can not use him as a star witness because he lacks so much credibility

10 Questions To Ask When Hiring A Financial Planner

  1. Take a look over my portfolio over the last 10 years if you have a higher percentage gain than myself then you can manage my portfolio; if I have a higher percentage then I will manage your portfolio
  2. Have you owned a business? If so what was your free cash flow in the last year?
  3. What is your portfolio management philosophy?
  4. How many months out of the year do you work? and how many months are you on vacations?
  5. Do you pick up your kids from school?
  6. What is your why? for business?
  7. In your opinion which business in the industry has the best business model?
  8. What is the name of your firm and other than “exactly me” what else do they specialize in?
  9. Why did you become a financial planner?
  10. What is your philosophy for a “down market”?